AC Milan vs Venezia Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

AC Milan welcome Venezia to Milan on 28 August 2026 in Serie A Regular Season - 2, with the hosts looking to build early momentum in front of their own fans. The match will be played in Milan, giving AC Milan a first home outing of the new campaign after opening with an away win.

After one round, AC Milan sit 5th with 3 points, having started with a 2-1 victory on the road. Venezia, by contrast, are already under pressure near the bottom in 18th after a 0-2 home defeat. For a promoted or lower-ranked side like Venezia, trips to San Siro-style venues are always daunting, and this fixture will be a key test of their defensive resilience and tactical organisation.

From a betting and prediction perspective, this clash between AC Milan and Venezia in Serie A offers a classic heavyweight vs underdog dynamic. Stats, recent form, and the historical head-to-head all lean strongly towards the Rossoneri, making this a high-interest game for those looking at AC Milan vs Venezia predictions and betting tips.

AC Milan vs Venezia Key Stats

• AC Milan are 5th in Serie A with 3 points from 1 match, scoring 2 and conceding 1.
• In the last four Serie A meetings between these sides (2021–2025), AC Milan have won all four, with an aggregate score of 11-0.
• In 2026 Serie A statistics so far, AC Milan average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, while Venezia average 0.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.

AC Milan vs Venezia — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 5 vs 18
• Points: 3 vs 0
• Goals For: 2 vs 0
• Goals Against: 1 vs 2
• Clean Sheets: 0 vs 0

After just one matchday, the standings already underline the gap between the two clubs. AC Milan opened with a 2-1 away win, showing attacking edge and enough defensive solidity to manage the result. Venezia’s 0-2 home loss leaves them in the relegation zone, with no goals scored and clear issues at the back.

Across their early 2026 Serie A statistics, AC Milan have taken maximum points from their single fixture, scoring twice away from home. Venezia, meanwhile, failed to score and conceded twice at home. With Milan now returning to Milan for their first home game and Venezia yet to play away, the underlying numbers still lean heavily towards a comfortable home advantage.

AC Milan vs Venezia Key Matchups

A. Rabiot vs M. Dagasso

Adrien Rabiot has started the 2026 Serie A campaign impressively for AC Milan. In his only appearance so far, he produced 1 goal and 1 assist in 34 minutes, with 1 shot on target and 12 passes, including 1 key pass. His rating of 7.5 and involvement in both goals underline his influence as a midfield finisher and creator.

For Venezia, Matteo Dagasso stands out more for his discipline profile than attacking threat. In his 20 minutes played, he completed 20 passes at 85% accuracy but picked up 1 yellow card and committed 1 foul. As a midfielder likely to be involved in breaking up play, he will be tested heavily by Rabiot’s late runs and technical quality between the lines.

A. Cissé vs R. Loftus-Cheek

Alphadjo Cissé has been a bright attacking spark for AC Milan. In his 66 minutes this season, he scored 1 goal from 3 shots (1 on target), added 1 key pass, and completed 24 passes at 87% accuracy. He also won 6 of 10 duels and drew 4 fouls, showing he can both finish chances and occupy defenders physically.

Ruben Loftus-Cheek, although yet to score or assist, remains a key figure in Milan’s attacking structure. In his single appearance he took 3 shots, created 3 key passes, and completed all 20 of his passes for 100% accuracy. He also attempted 3 dribbles with 1 successful, and picked up 1 yellow card. His ability to drive from midfield and link with forwards like Cissé could be decisive against a Venezia side that already concedes chances.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent Serie A history between AC Milan and Venezia has been one-sided, with the Rossoneri consistently dominant both home and away. The scorelines highlight a clear gap in quality whenever these sides have met in the top flight.

• 27 April 2025: Venezia 0-2 AC Milan (Serie A)
• 14 September 2024: AC Milan 4-0 Venezia (Serie A)
• 9 January 2022: Venezia 0-3 AC Milan (Serie A)
• 22 September 2021: AC Milan 2-0 Venezia (Serie A)

AC Milan vs Venezia Prediction

All indicators point towards AC Milan controlling this contest. They come in with a win, better underlying attacking numbers, and a perfect recent head-to-head record that includes four straight clean-sheet victories over Venezia. Milan’s 3-4-2-1 structure in 2026 has already produced 2 goals away from home, with creative contributions from midfield and wide areas.

Venezia, lining up in a 3-5-2 this season, will likely prioritise compactness and counter-attacks. However, their early statistics — 0 goals scored, 2 conceded, and 1 match where they failed to score — suggest they may struggle to sustain pressure or create clear chances at Milan. The predictions model gives AC Milan a 50% chance of victory and a 50% chance of a draw, with Venezia rated at 0%. That effectively frames this as a “Milan or draw” scenario, with the away win considered highly unlikely.

Given Milan’s attacking talent and historical dominance, but also respecting the early-season nature of the fixture and the 50% draw probability, a controlled home win by a narrow margin looks the most plausible outcome.

Predicted Score: AC Milan 2-0 Venezia

AC Milan Recent Form

AC Milan have started the 2026 Serie A campaign with a win. Their recent form in the league is positive, with 1 victory from 1 match, 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. The team has shown strong attacking efficiency and enough defensive organisation to see out results late in games.

Venezia Recent Form

Venezia’s recent form is poor. They opened the 2026 Serie A season with a defeat, losing 0-2 at home. With 0 goals scored and 2 conceded in their only league outing so far, they are still searching for both attacking rhythm and defensive stability.

AC Milan Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Maignan; Defenders: P. Estupiñán, F. Tomori, M. Gabbia, S. Pavlović; Midfielders: A. Rabiot, R. Loftus-Cheek, Y. Fofana, S. Chukwueze; Forwards: A. Cissé, Rafael Leão.

AC Milan have a deep squad with quality across the pitch. M. Maignan provides reliability in goal, while a defensive group featuring F. Tomori and P. Estupiñán offers both solidity and width. In midfield, the combination of A. Rabiot and R. Loftus-Cheek adds power, creativity, and late runs into the box. Out wide and up front, players like S. Chukwueze, Rafael Leão, and A. Cissé bring pace, dribbling, and goal threat. The 3-4-2-1 or similar flexible attacking shape should allow Milan to dominate territory and create sustained pressure on Venezia’s back line.

Venezia Possible Starting Lineup

GK: F. Stanković; Defenders: A. Bella-Kotchap, M. Šverko, R. Haps; Midfielders: Thierry Correia, G. Busio, E. Bohinen, T. Bašić, M. Dagasso; Forwards: J. Yeboah, A. Adams.

Venezia are likely to stick with a 3-5-2 structure that emphasises numbers in midfield and wing-back support. A. Bella-Kotchap and M. Šverko can provide physical presence at the back, while R. Haps offers experience on the left. In midfield, G. Busio and E. Bohinen are key for ball circulation, with T. Bašić adding box-to-box energy. M. Dagasso, who has already been booked this season, must balance aggression with discipline. Up front, J. Yeboah and A. Adams can threaten on the counter, but they may be isolated if Venezia sit too deep for long spells.

AC Milan Team News

No significant absences reported.

Venezia Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

AC Milan:

• None reported.

Venezia:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: AC Milan vs Venezia

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back AC Milan to win (home win). The prediction model gives Milan a 50% chance of victory and Venezia 0%, with the draw also at 50%. Combined with Milan’s perfect recent head-to-head record and better early-season form, the home win is the logical result angle. (No odds data available for this market.)
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Milan’s opening match produced 3 goals (2-1), while Venezia’s finished 0-2. Historically Milan have scored freely against Venezia, but with it still early in the season and Venezia likely to set up cautiously in a 3-5-2, a controlled 2-0 or 2-1 type scoreline fits the pattern. (No odds data available for this market.)
• Value Tip: A. Rabiot to score or assist. He already has 1 goal and 1 assist from just 34 minutes this season, with 1 shot on target and 1 key pass. His advanced midfield role against a Venezia side that concedes chances makes him a strong candidate to contribute directly to a goal. (No odds data available for this market.)

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.