Indy Eleven vs Forward Madison Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Indy Eleven welcome Forward Madison to Michael A. Carroll Stadium for a USL League One Cup Group Stage clash that already feels pivotal in Group 4. With early group points on the line, this meeting offers another chapter in a matchup that has been heavily tilted in Indy’s favour in recent years.

The hosts come in with 2 points and a positive goal difference after two group games, sitting 5th in the Group 4 standings. Forward Madison, by contrast, are bottom of the section in 7th with 0 points and a -3 goal difference, under pressure to spark their campaign into life. Stats suggest Indy Eleven vs Forward Madison could again be one-way traffic, but cup football often produces surprises.

From a tactical and betting perspective, this fixture is intriguing: Indy’s attack has been productive but leaky, while Madison’s defensive numbers have been poor and their attack inconsistent. For those looking for Indy Eleven vs Forward Madison prediction angles and betting tips, the underlying numbers point clearly towards the home side, but also hint at goals.

Indy Eleven vs Forward Madison Key Stats

• Indy Eleven have 2 points from 2 USL League One Cup group games, scoring 6 and conceding 5.
• In the last three completed meetings, Indy Eleven have beaten Forward Madison 4-0 (away) on 26 April 2025, 5-0 (home) on 21 February 2025, and 3-0 (home) on 17 April 2021.
• Indy Eleven average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match in this USL League One Cup campaign, while Forward Madison average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.

Indy Eleven vs Forward Madison — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 5 vs 7
• Points: 2 vs 0
• Goals For: 6 vs 2
• Goals Against: 5 vs 5
• Clean Sheets: 0 vs 0

The group standings underline the contrasting starts. Indy Eleven sit 5th in Group 4 with 2 points from 2 matches, having won once and lost once. Their attack has been sharp, with 6 goals scored, but 5 conceded shows they remain vulnerable at the back. At home they have lost once, scoring 1 and conceding 2, while their away win featured 3 goals scored and 2 conceded.

Forward Madison occupy 7th place with no points from their first two group outings. They have lost both matches, scoring just 2 goals and conceding 5. At home they were beaten 1-0, and away they fell 4-2, highlighting a defence that has struggled, especially on the road. Both sides are yet to keep a clean sheet in this competition, so the defensive fragility on both sides adds weight to the expectation of goals.

Indy Eleven vs Forward Madison Key Matchups

Indy Eleven Attack vs Forward Madison Defence

Indy Eleven’s offensive unit has produced 4 goals across 2 fixtures in this USL League One Cup campaign, averaging 2.0 goals per game. They have shown they can score both at home and away, with 1 goal at Michael A. Carroll Stadium and 3 on their travels. Their biggest away win so far is a 3-goal showing, and they have failed to score in none of their matches.

Forward Madison’s back line faces a stern test. They have conceded 5 goals in 2 group matches, an average of 2.5 per game. Away from home they have been particularly porous, shipping 4 goals in a single match. Their biggest away defeat so far is 4-2, underlining that when the game opens up, they struggle to contain opponents. With no clean sheets registered, the matchup strongly favours Indy’s attack.

Midfield Control: Indy Eleven’s Balance vs Madison’s Transition

Indy Eleven’s overall goal profile is balanced: 4 scored and 4 conceded in the current cup statistics set, with an average of 2.0 both for and against. That suggests a side willing to commit numbers forward, trusting their ability to outscore opponents. They have not failed to score in any match, which points to a midfield capable of supplying consistent chances.

Forward Madison’s midfield and transition play will be under scrutiny. They have managed only 2 goals across 2 fixtures (1.0 per game) while conceding 5. At home they have yet to score, and although they netted 2 away, they still conceded 4. With one match in which they failed to score and no clean sheets, their midfield will need to improve ball retention and defensive coverage to avoid another one-sided encounter.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent history between these two clubs has been dominated by Indy Eleven. In the completed fixtures, Indy have repeatedly found ways to both control games and score freely, particularly in non-league friendlies and in this very competition. The only exception in the recent set was a goalless draw earlier in 2026.

• 27 February 2026: Indy Eleven 0-0 Forward Madison (Friendlies Clubs)
• 26 April 2025: Forward Madison 0-4 Indy Eleven (USL League One Cup)
• 21 February 2025: Indy Eleven 5-0 Forward Madison (Friendlies Clubs)
• 17 April 2021: Indy Eleven 3-0 Forward Madison (Friendlies Clubs)

Indy Eleven vs Forward Madison Prediction

Analysis points to Indy Eleven as clear favourites. They have the better group position, more points, and a far stronger attacking record so far in this USL League One Cup campaign. Their historical dominance in this matchup — including 4-0, 5-0, and 3-0 wins — adds psychological weight, even if the most recent meeting ended 0-0.

Forward Madison must tighten up defensively after conceding 5 goals in 2 games and find greater attacking fluency, especially away from home. With both teams yet to keep a clean sheet in this competition and the predictive metrics giving Indy Eleven a strong edge (45% home win probability versus 10% for the visitors, with 45% on the draw), the most likely pattern is Indy controlling territory and chances, with Madison looking to counter but struggling to keep them out.

Predicted Score: Indy Eleven 3-2 Forward Madison

Indy Eleven League Form

WL

Forward Madison League Form

LL

Indy Eleven Possible Starting Lineup

Reice Charles-Cook; H. Barry, P. Craig, A. Herbert, H. White; J. Blake, C. Lindley, N. Okello, A. Quinn; A. Gavilanes, K. Williams.

Indy Eleven have depth across the pitch, with experienced options in goal such as Reice Charles-Cook, a solid defensive core featuring players like H. Barry, P. Craig and H. White, and a midfield blend of control and work rate in J. Blake, C. Lindley, N. Okello and A. Quinn. In attack, the likes of A. Gavilanes and K. Williams give them pace and goal threat, with further options in E. Kizza, L. Mesanvi, C. Sharp and D. Sing if they wish to rotate or chase the game. The available personnel suggest a balanced, front-foot 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 setup at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.

Forward Madison Possible Starting Lineup

John Harms; E. Munjoma, M. Segbers, C. McCamy, G. Kanyane; Jackson Castro, E. Machacen, R. Torres, K. Romanshyn; J. Bolma, Ryan Carmichael.

Forward Madison’s squad offers flexibility, with John Harms likely to feature in goal and a defensive unit built around experienced figures like E. Munjoma and M. Segbers, supported by C. McCamy and G. Kanyane. In midfield, Jackson Castro, E. Machacen and R. Torres can provide energy and ball progression, while in attack, players such as J. Bolma, Ryan Carmichael and D. Gebhard give them options in wide and central roles. Expect a compact shape, potentially a 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2, aimed at staying in the game and exploiting transitions.

Indy Eleven Team News

No significant absences reported.

Forward Madison Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Indy Eleven:

• None reported.

Forward Madison:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Indy Eleven vs Forward Madison

[Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:]

• Result Tip: Back Indy Eleven in the double chance (home win or draw). With a 45% home win probability, 45% draw probability and only 10% chance assigned to an away win, plus Indy’s superior H2H record and stronger group form, the hosts look far less likely to lose.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. The advice leans towards “+1.5 goals”, and with Indy averaging 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded per game, and Madison averaging 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded, a multi-goal game is the logical expectation.
• Value Tip: Indy Eleven or draw & over 1.5 goals (combo). The recommended angle combines double chance on Indy Eleven with at least two goals in the match, aligning with their attacking output, Madison’s defensive frailties, and the expectation that the home side will both score and avoid defeat.

How to Watch Indy Eleven vs Forward Madison

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.