Benfica vs OFI Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Benfica welcome OFI to Lisbon on 10 December 2026 in a UEFA Europa League League Stage - 6 clash that could prove pivotal in shaping the final league-phase standings. Played in the Portuguese capital, this fixture pits one of the competition’s most explosive attacks against a Greek side that has started its Europa campaign with impressive defensive solidity.

Benfica arrive as one of the early headline acts of the Europa League League Round. Despite the standings table currently showing 0 matches played, their tournament statistics are emphatic: 19 goals scored across 6 fixtures and only 6 conceded, with big wins and a clear attacking identity. For OFI, ranked 25th in the League Round, this is a major step up in opposition but also an opportunity to prove that their perfect defensive record so far is no fluke.

From a betting and prediction standpoint, this Benfica vs OFI Europa League tie offers a classic contrast in styles: Benfica’s high-scoring, front-foot football against OFI’s compact 3-4-3 structure and two clean sheets from two matches. Stats suggest a competitive encounter, but the Portuguese side’s firepower and depth give them the edge heading into this League Stage - 6 showdown.

Benfica vs OFI Key Stats

• Benfica are ranked 4th in the Europa League League Round standings, while OFI sit 25th, both currently on 0 points with no official league-round matches recorded yet.
• Across their Europa League tournament statistics, Benfica have scored 19 goals and conceded 6 in 6 matches, averaging 3.2 goals for and 1.0 against per game.
• OFI’s Europa League tournament numbers show 5 goals scored and 0 conceded in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals scored per game and a perfect clean-sheet record.

Benfica vs OFI — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 4 vs 25
• Points: 0 vs 0
• Goals For: 0 vs 0
• Goals Against: 0 vs 0
• Clean Sheets: Benfica 1 (tournament statistics), OFI 2 (tournament statistics)

The official League Round standings are effectively a blank slate, with both Benfica and OFI listed on 0 games played, 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. However, the wider Europa League statistics paint a much richer picture of where these teams stand competitively.

Benfica’s 19 goals from 6 Europa matches underline why they are viewed as one of the most dangerous attacking sides in the competition. Their biggest home win of 6-1 and an away 3-1 success highlight their ability to blow teams away, particularly at home. OFI, by contrast, have been ruthlessly efficient in a smaller sample: two wins from two, a 3-0 home victory and a 2-0 away success, and still yet to concede a goal. While the ranking gap favours Benfica, OFI’s perfect defensive record suggests they will not be easy to break down.

Benfica vs OFI Key Matchups

V. Pavlidis vs OFI back line

Vangelis Pavlidis has been the standout individual in Benfica’s Europa League campaign. The Greek forward has 5 goals and 1 assist in just 3 appearances, and he also tops Benfica’s charts for yellow cards with 1 caution, reflecting how involved he is in the thick of the action. His combination of goalscoring and link play (1 assist in both the top scorers and top assists lists) makes him the primary threat that OFI’s defence must contain.

OFI’s defenders – a unit that has yet to concede in 2 Europa League matches – will be collectively tasked with stopping Pavlidis. With clean sheets both home and away and a 3-4-3 formation used consistently across their two fixtures, OFI’s back three and wing-backs have shown strong organisation. The duel between Pavlidis’ penalty-box instincts and an OFI defence that has allowed 0.0 goals per game so far is likely to be the defining battle of the night.

Rafa vs OFI midfield shield

Rafa has been another key creative outlet for Benfica. In 4 Europa League appearances, the Portuguese attacker has scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist, featuring prominently in both the top scorers and top assists lists. His ability to drift between the lines and contribute both goals and final passes makes him a crucial link between midfield and attack.

OFI’s midfielders, particularly experienced figures such as A. Bouchalakis and G. Kanellópoulos (from the squad list), will need to close down space centrally and in the half-spaces to prevent Rafa from dictating tempo. With OFI’s last-five defensive index at 100 and no goals conceded in 2 matches, their midfield shield has clearly been effective so far. Limiting Rafa’s influence will be vital if OFI are to maintain their clean-sheet streak in Lisbon.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

There are no recorded recent head-to-head meetings between Benfica and OFI in the available data, so this Europa League League Round fixture effectively opens a new chapter in their continental history.

Benfica vs OFI Prediction

All available indicators point towards Benfica as favourites, but not overwhelming ones. The prediction model gives Benfica a 35% chance of victory, the draw also at 35%, and OFI at 30%. That narrow spread reflects OFI’s impressive early form: 2 wins from 2, 5 goals scored and none conceded, plus a last-five defensive index of 100.

Even so, Benfica’s attacking metrics are hard to ignore. They average 3.2 goals per Europa League match, with 14 of their 19 goals coming at home (4.7 per game). They have failed to score in none of their 6 fixtures and boast a clean sheet themselves. OFI’s sample size is smaller, and while their defence has been perfect so far, they have yet to face an attack of Benfica’s calibre, led by Pavlidis, Rafa, and a supporting cast that includes D. Lukebakio, A. Schjelderup and J. Durán, all of whom have scored and assisted in the competition.

Expect Benfica to dominate possession and territory in Lisbon, with OFI looking to stay compact in their 3-4-3 and counter when possible. Given OFI’s resilience and Benfica’s occasional vulnerability (6 goals conceded in 6 matches), a tight home win feels more likely than a rout.

Predicted Score: Benfica 2-1 OFI

Benfica Recent Form

Benfica’s recent Europa League form has been strong, with a sequence described by their form string as LWWDWW across 6 matches. That run includes 4 wins, 1 draw and just 1 defeat, with 19 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have been especially dominant, winning all 3 fixtures with 14 goals scored and only 2 conceded, underlining why they are viewed as one of the competition’s pace-setters.

OFI Recent Form

OFI’s Europa League form is short but flawless. Their form string of WW reflects 2 wins from 2, with 5 goals scored and 0 conceded. They have claimed a 3-0 home win and a 2-0 away victory, showing they can perform in both environments. While the sample is limited, their perfect clean-sheet record and 2.5 goals per game average make them a dangerous outsider heading into Lisbon.

Benfica Possible Starting Lineup

GK: A. Trubin; Defenders: C. Lenglet, Tomás Araújo, A. Bah, S. Dahl; Midfielders: João Palhinha, E. Barrenechea, H. Sudakov, Rafa, J. Kamiński; Forwards: V. Pavlidis.

Benfica have the squad depth to rotate, but their Europa League statistics suggest a preference for attack-minded setups such as 4-2-3-1 and 4-1-3-2. A. Trubin is the standout option in goal, with Lenglet and Tomás Araújo offering goal threat from defence (both have scored once in the competition). In midfield, Palhinha and Barrenechea provide balance, while creators like Rafa, Kamiński and Sudakov (all with at least 1 assist) support Pavlidis up front. With no injuries reported, Roger Schmidt (or the current coach) can lean on a full-strength attacking XI.

OFI Possible Starting Lineup

GK: N. Christogeorgos; Defenders: D. Nikolaou, A. Poungouras, Borja González; Midfielders: N. Marinakis, L. Dickmann, A. Bouchalakis, G. Kanellópoulos; Forwards: Aitor Cantalapiedra, T. Fountas, K. Kodro.

OFI have consistently used a 3-4-3 formation in their 2 Europa League fixtures, and the squad list supports a similar shape here. A back three anchored by Nikolaou and Poungouras, with Borja González as a versatile defender, underpins a side that has yet to concede. Wing-backs such as Marinakis and Dickmann can provide width, while a midfield led by Bouchalakis offers experience and control. In attack, options like Aitor Cantalapiedra, Fountas and Kodro give OFI the ability to threaten on the break, even if none have recorded Europa League goal stats in the provided data.

Benfica Team News

No significant absences reported.

OFI Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Benfica:

• None reported.

OFI:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Benfica vs OFI

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Benfica to win. The prediction model gives Benfica a 35% chance of victory versus 30% for OFI, with the draw also at 35%. Benfica’s Europa League record of 4 wins from 6, combined with 14 goals in 3 home matches, suggests they should have enough to edge an OFI side stepping up in class, even allowing for the visitors’ perfect start.
• Goals Tip: Over 2.5 match goals. Benfica’s matches average 4.2 total goals per game (19 scored, 6 conceded across 6), and they have scored at least 3 in the majority of their fixtures. OFI average 2.5 goals for per game and have yet to concede. The clash between Benfica’s high-tempo attack and OFI’s counter-attacking potential makes a 2-1 or 3-1 type scoreline plausible.
• Value Tip: V. Pavlidis to score anytime. With 5 goals and 1 assist in just 3 Europa League appearances, Pavlidis is Benfica’s focal point and also features at the top of the yellow-card charts, underlining how central he is to their play. Against an OFI defence that has not yet faced such a prolific striker, backing Pavlidis to find the net offers strong value relative to his production rate.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.